30 Aug · 06:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1411
FormWWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Staniszewski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1516
FormLWWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Staniszewski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H32-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-23)