30 Aug · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1446
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1551
FormWLWLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)