30 Aug · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1305
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Eliasz
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1288
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Eliasz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (20)
Fair odds · Eliasz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.