30 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1556
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zemla
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1551
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Zemla
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.