30 Aug · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1685
FormWWLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Jedrzejak
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1397
FormWLLLW
78%
22%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~71 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+288
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+288)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)