30 Aug · 09:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1530
FormWWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Urban
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1430
FormWLLLW
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adamus🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (18)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H20-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-19)