30 Aug · 12:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Glica
ELO 1482
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Glica
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1386
FormLLWLL
60%
40%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Glica
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)