30 Aug · 12:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Sinicki
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1259
FormLLWWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 70% · 1.44· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)