30 Aug · 12:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1452
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Szurlej
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1563
FormWWWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Szurlej
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)