30 Aug · 12:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1370
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Piecowski
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1279
FormLLLLW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Piecowski goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~81 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H31-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-12)