30 Aug · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1279
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Eliasz
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1259
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Eliasz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (20)
Fair odds · Eliasz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.