30 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1478
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Szurlej
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1563
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Szurlej
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)