30 Aug · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Glica
ELO 1488
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Oracz
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1541
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
🌟Glica goes over total as underdog 72% (57)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)