30 Aug · 14:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sinicki
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1297
FormWWLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)