30 Aug · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1372
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Piecowski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1349
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Piecowski goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H14-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.