30 Aug · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1692
FormWLWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Jedrzejak
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Glica
ELO 1494
FormLWWLL
71%
29%
🌟Glica goes over total as underdog 72% (57)
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+198
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+198)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)