30 Aug · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1532
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1553
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.