30 Aug · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1428
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1504
FormWLWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)