30 Aug · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1437
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Glica
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Glica
ELO 1494
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Glica
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)