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30 Aug · 13:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1470
3-2Final setsStaniszewski won
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1453
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 54%. The actual result was Piotr Staniszewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Piotr Staniszewski — profile →Igor Dabrowski — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Igor Dabrowski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Igor Dabrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Igor Dabrowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Igor Dabrowski.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 51% → final 95%
Igor Dabrowski ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsStaniszewski recovered from 41%72 points · 5 games