30 Aug · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1380
FormWLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1527
FormWWWWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H12-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-1)