30 Aug · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1506
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1593
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)