30 Aug · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1336
FormLLLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1593
FormWWLWW
24%
76%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+257
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+257)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)