30 Aug · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1336
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sikon
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1388
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sawicki🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Sikon
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+52
H2H0-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)