30 Aug · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1336
FormLLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1501
FormLLWWL
32%
68%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sawicki🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H23-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-10)