30 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1521
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1599
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H83-82
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (83-82)