30 Aug · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1363
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1506
FormWWWWL
35%
65%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+143
H2H31-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-22)