30 Aug · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1380
FormLWWWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1609
FormWWWWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+229
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+229)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)