30 Aug · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1335
FormLWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1505
FormLLLWW
32%
68%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H14-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-7)