31 Aug · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1435
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1514
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Rudomina covers set handicap as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H46-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-44)