31 Aug · 02:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1424
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1507
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
⚡ Cover lean · Rudomina🌟Rudomina covers set handicap as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H23-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-13)