Dawid Kotwica vs Mateusz Trela — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

30 Aug · 23:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica

ELO 1337

2-3Final setsTrela won

🇵🇱Mateusz Trela

ELO 1372

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 52%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Dawid Kotwica — profile →Mateusz Trela — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Dawid Kotwica favoured — closing 1.75

Upset

Total 76.5

91 points played

Over

Set handicap

Dawid Kotwica −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Dawid Kotwica −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kotwica is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Trela.

▲ Dawid Kotwicapre 44% → final 5%

Mateusz Trela ▼

Biggest swing 68 ptsTrela recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games