31 Aug · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1325
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1497
FormLWWWL
32%
68%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H19-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-8)