31 Aug · 03:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1514
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1608
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H84-82
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-82)