31 Aug · 03:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1523
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamus
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1508
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 63% (87)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.