31 Aug · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1373
FormLWLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1608
FormWLWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+235
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+235)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)