31 Aug · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1174
FormLLWLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1453
FormWWWLL
23%
77%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 80% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~76 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+279
H2H39-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+279)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-16)