31 Aug · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1482
FormWLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Mleczko
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1314
FormWWLLL
68%
32%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lukaszewski🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)