31 Aug · 07:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1221
FormLLLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Wolny
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1452
FormWWWLL
26%
74%
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+231
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+231)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)