31 Aug · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1642
FormWLWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Wichowski
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1466
FormLWLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H35-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-22)