31 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1371
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Buczynski
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1445
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Buczynski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H11-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)