31 Aug · 09:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1305
FormLLWWL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Blocho
PB
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Blocho
ELO 1575
FormWLWWL
23%
77%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Blocho
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+270
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+270)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)