31 Aug · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1219
FormLLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1444
FormLWWWL
27%
73%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+225
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+225)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)