31 Aug · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1450
FormWLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1600
FormWWWWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H30-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-26)