31 Aug · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1632
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wichowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1575
FormWWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H20-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-17)