31 Aug · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1608
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Glazowski
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1665
FormWWLWL
44%
56%
🌟Glazowski goes over total as favourite 71% (59)
Fair odds · Glazowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H36-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-30)