31 Aug · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1746
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Strowski
LJ
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1660
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 72% (114)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H50-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)