31 Aug · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Blocho
ELO 1562
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Blocho
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1498
FormWWWLW
57%
43%
🌟Blocho goes over total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Blocho
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)