31 Aug · 14:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1659
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Glazowski
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1664
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Glazowski goes over total as favourite 71% (59)
Fair odds · Glazowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H31-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.