31 Aug · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1380
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Buczynski
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1452
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Buczynski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 45% · 2.20· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H12-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)